TULIP MONEY

THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
https://ms.mcmaster.ca/~grasselli/Garber89.pdf
https://lietaer.com/when-were-tulips-used-as-currency
https://peoplepill.com/people/anatoly-chubais/

“…The dissident economists organized a tulip farm to finance their seminars. In the four days before the International Women’s Day (March 8) they managed to get income equivalent to the price of several Lada cars. The tulip money was used to finance the elections of Anatoly Sobchak, Yury Boldyrev and many other democratic candidates. As a result, 2/3 of the deputies winning the 1990 elections to Leningrad Soviet were from the opposition. Chubais himself later stated that he personally did not participate in growing or selling of the flowers…”


The Tulip Folly, by Gérôme, 1882. A nobleman guards an exceptional bloom as soldiers trample flowerbeds in a vain attempt to stabilise the tulip market by limiting the supply.”

TULIP FUTURES
https://atlasobscura.com/semper-augustus-tulip 
https://bbc.com/tulip-mania-the-flowers-that-cost-more-than-houses
https://historyofyesterday.com/1636-tulip-mania-first-economic-bubble
when flowers were more expensive than houses historians call first economic bubble
by Andrei Tapalaga  /  May 10, 2021

“The 17th century was truly the age of expansion and evolution for the western world and especially for focusing the growth of any economy into worldwide trade. Trading different commodities or luxuries defined by things that were not produced in the western hemisphere was a profitable business and the prices within the trade were mostly driven by a somewhat stable demand. Economy at the time was still a term that wasn’t really understood by the world. The impact cash flow has on a country’s economy was believed to not really matter because most people were below the poverty line, which meant that they were living in agriculture, bartering, and nevertheless in no need of any luxuries.

However, in the 1630s a flower from Asia would come to Europe to create what historian’s argued to be the first economic bubble. The event was named the Tulip Mania and it was based on a single product (Tulip flower) and the stupidity of rich people. In this article, we will take a look at this economic bubble and how similar it is to the economic bubbles in our present. Just to get this out of the way before we dwell into the story, I don’t support, neither deny the ideology of an economic bubble when it comes to the present economy based on cryptocurrencies, overpriced stocks, and so on. 


“A tulip, known as “the Viceroy” (viseroij), displayed in the 1637 Dutch catalogue Verzameling van een Meenigte Tulipaanen. Its bulb was offered for sale for between 3,000 and 4,200 guilders (florins) depending on weight (gewooge). A skilled craftsworker at the time earned about 300 guilders a year.”[1]

The tulip flower originates from Northern China and it was something unique for that part of the world, in other words, something rare that Europeans would have loved to have as it was something others of the same social rank would not be able to own. Contemporary painters such as Jan Breughel and Ambrosius Bosschaert were doing a lot of paintings based on exotic flowers during the beginning of the 17th century. This aroused the interest of some people to become botanists. At the time the Dutch were the richest, knowledgeable, and advanced nation with a population that was having the lowest rate of poverty in the world. This meant that people had the time and money to focus on new interests or start new businesses around the world to profit even more. The general mentality of the Dutch population is a factor that caused this economic bubble and to generalize this mindset would probably have been acquired by anyone rich enough to buy luxuries they do not need.


Carolus Clusius

One of the most well-known botanists at the time was Carolus Clusius who during the 1590s spent many years studying exotic flowers such as the tulip at the University of Leiden. Within the University’s garden, Clusius had his own private garden where he was mostly growing tulips for study. Tulips were quite difficult to grow as they were used to a very different environment than where they were now trying to grow them in. That is why they were sold as one of the most expensive flowers on the western market at around 0.50 guilder, a currency introduced in the Netherlands in the 17th century. Today one guilder from the 17th century would be worth around $60. The average worker within the Netherlands earned around 24 guilders per month, so you can imagine how expensive the flower was at a stable price.

We can say that this period of 1610s is the starting period for the bubble to inflate. Clusius was able to identify some strange, yet interesting things about tulips from his years of study. One of these strange phenomenons was that from one year to another, the tulips would start blooming different colors than their “natural” red and even different patterns on the petals. It was later on discovered in the 19th century that this was caused by a virus that was affecting the pigment of the tulip, making it change color each year it would bloom. This brought on the attention of many other botanists who started growing tulips and exchanging different rare colors/patterns in trying to grow new patterns that are even rarer than the previous ones. You can imagine the Dutch population upon seeing these incredibly rare flowers how they would desire to have something that is “unique” in the world and would be willing to pay a lot for them.


“An anonymous watercolour from the 17th Century shows the Semper Augustus, the most prized and expensive variety in the Dutch tulip mania”

It all started with scholars and botanists who only wanted to study this magnificent flower where they would exchange one seed of a specific pattern for another. The Dutch Republic at the time even had its own organization (started by botanists) in order to help botanists trade seeds. However, out of nowhere many random people started to requests seeds and especially the bloomed flowers in exchange for money. For the bubble itself, this was perfect timing as around the 1620s the Dutch Republic (known today as the Netherlands) hit its peak as it officially became the richest country in the world due to its successful trading systems. Tulips were a new trend and everyone had to have them. It even got to the point where middle-class citizens who didn’t buy luxuries because they could not afford them started to spare some cash for tulips which once again they did not need.

The tulip became more of a product that would represent the social status of a person just like an expensive car, watch, phone, or so on. In 1623 someone offered botanists who held what at the time was considered as the most beautiful tulip pattern (Semper Augustus) 12,000 guilders for 10 tulips, that is $720,000, around the same price as a house and many more times what the average person would make in a lifetime during the 17th century. The 1630s is when the mania for tulips really began with various types and patterns of tulips that were more and more attractive than the previous ones. The flower sort of became like a collectible for adults that were desperate to fill their gardens with these beauties. The problem was that there were so many varieties with so many unique patterns that having a stable price was impossible.

From what Historian Mike Dash mentioned in his book, Tulipomania: The Story of the World’s Most Coveted Flower and the Extraordinary Passions It Aroused, it seems that the price of the tulips was mainly driven by the rarety of the flower. By 1933 the tulips started actually being used as currency to the point where people would actually buy a house with one tulip and the other party was crazy enough to give their house in exchange for a tulip. This is where the idiocracy presented in the painting at the start of the article by Jan Breughel starts to show. He represents these crazy people as “brainless monkeys” because at the end of the day that was only a flower that in reality didn’t have offer the value that people were paying. How could a flower replace a house?


“Jan Breughel the Elder was the most celebrated Dutch painter of flowers in the early 17th Century/ Jan Breughel the Younger’s Satire of the Tulip Mania from around 1640 pokes fun at speculators, depicting them as brainless monkeys.”

And who in their right mind would exchange a house for a flower that would die in a few months? It is called a bubble because people within in are having their minds closed within an economic system that is mainly driven by “trends” which as shown throughout history tend to be short-lived. What really filled the economic bubble was people that wanted to get rich overnight. As the price was going up there were many stories of merchants that became extremely wealthy from just selling tulips, therefore more and more people wanted to get into it. In 1633 a single bulb of the rare Semper Augustus tulip was around 5,500 guilders ($330,000) and by 1637 the price almost doubled at 10,000 guilders per bulb ($600,000) over half a million dollars for a flower! At the time, with that sort of money you could live in luxury for almost a whole lifetime without moving a single finger, it was crazy the economical spikes provoked by these flowers. This was also the time when the demand for the flowers sort of started to be balanced by the supply of new merchants.


“A chart showing the growing demand for tulips within the Dutch Republic”

The highest peak was reached in the winter of 1636–1637 with the prices of a rare and unique tulip reaching even 20,000 guilders (around 1.2 million US dollars). This is where the supply started to overwhelm the demand created by the trend originally. A single tulip bulb would be exchanged by 10 different people in one single day making profits of over 10,000 guilders from a single bulb. These sorts of trades took place in unconventional places such as strange alleys or taverns where hundreds of people would gather and would trade from one corner of the tavern to the other until they made enough profit to make them go home. In February of 1637, the tulip market suddenly collapsed as everyone lost interest as they probably realized they were flowers which in most cases many died during the winter period.


“In Flora’s Wagon of Fools by Hendrik Gerritsz Pot, the goddess of flowers leads the weavers of Haarlem toward the rough seas that will destroy them”

Big-time tulip traders were dropping their prices by the hour in their separation to sell something in order to get rid of their high investments in rare tulips. This is when the Dutch Republic lost its title as the richest country in the world as the value of tulips dropped below one guilder and most people ended up in tremendous debt for years to come. The government had a huge problem on their hands as cash flow was almost nonexistent because people didn’t have any money to buy anything which means that the bubble bursting also affected the overall economy of the country. Although this event had devastating financial consequences, this did not stop the interest of the general Dutch population in flowers or art that represented flowers, but they awoke to the reality that a flower should never be worth as much or even more than a house.

The idiocracy presented in the tulip mania cannot be exactly compared with the stupidity represented in the cryptocurrency rush that has been highly trending lately or other investment opportunities that have been also trending on social media as well as not to forget NFT arts. I am not here to say if these are or are not bubbles, but they are believed to be by many people and it seems so as they are filled by a population who is only interested to take part in a trend rather than actually profit from this financial investment. Many people buy for example DOGE coin because it is cool to own that cryptocurrency and it is supported by Elon Musk, in other words, people being attracted by celebrating endorsement which in my opinion is quite stupid. Everyone is free to do and chose to live as they will, they do not have to follow the lifestyle and trends of others. A bubble that seems to come very close to the tulip mania is NFT’s which are digital pieces of art that have been lately selling for millions. This is mainly due to a trend that has been started by people with simply too much time on their hands and it will only be kept alive by the interest of the public. Once social media users lose interest guess what will happen with the prices?

That is one possibility whilst this could be an economical revolution where art covers the 21st century and here is the future for you. I am not saying that the bubble will burst, neither that it exists, but what I want you to understand from this article is that we should learn from history before doing anything in this life. The biggest idiocracy with all of these “investment opportunities” is that many people are risking their life savings as if it was a gamble more than anything. At the same time, the markets have become so volatile that even for the most experienced traders it is difficult to predict. However, there is even the worst category that goes and gets a huge bank loan to invest in this trend. You see, the economical bubble itself is more of a psychological perspective of finance that represents a group of people that are fixated on a specific investment that has only been brought to their attention due to a trend. I believe that many politicians and other people from wall street are using the term in a way to put people off from these investment opportunities. The hope that the world has with these trends is that it can end poverty in the world which would be amazing, but people should not rush into it just because others have become millionaires of these trends. If there is something to be understood from our present society is that people are getting bored quickly and the pace of boredom is usually in correlation with the speed at which technology evolves. Whatever you chose to do invest with caution.”

TULIPOMANIA
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tulip_mania
https://erenow.net/tulipomania-the-worlds-most-coveted-flower
http://oldtulips.org/index.php?section=broken&content=early_tulip_catalogs
https://history.com/tulip-mania-financial-crash-holland
The Real Story Behind the 17th-Century ‘Tulip Mania’ Financial Crash
by   /  3.16.2020

“In 1636, according to an 1841 account by Scottish author Charles MacKay, the entirety of Dutch society went crazy over exotic tulips. As Mackay wrote in his wildly popular, Memoirs of Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds, as prices rose, people got swept up in a speculative fever, spending a year’s salary on rare bulbs in hopes of reselling them for a profit. Mackay dubbed the phenomenon “The Tulipomania.” “A golden bait hung temptingly out before the people, and one after the other, they rushed to the tulip-marts, like flies around a honey-pot,” wrote Mackay. “Nobles, citizens, farmers, mechanics, sea-men, footmen, maid-servants, even chimney-sweeps and old clothes-women, dabbled in tulips.” When the tulip bubble suddenly burst in 1637, Mackay claimed that it wreaked havoc on the Dutch economy.


“Tulip price index from 1636-1637. The values of this index were compiled by Earl A. Thompson in Thompson, Earl (2007), “The Tulipmania: Fact or artifact?”

“Many who, for a brief season, had emerged from the humbler walks of life, were cast back into their original obscurity,” wrote Mackay. “Substantial merchants were reduced almost to beggary, and many a representative of a noble line saw the fortunes of his house ruined beyond redemption.” But according to historian Anne Goldgar, Mackay’s tales of huge fortunes lost and distraught people drowning themselves in canals are more fiction than fact. Goldgar, a professor of early modern history at King’s College London and author of Tulipmania: Money, Honor and Knowledge in the Dutch Golden Age, understands why Mackay’s myth-making has endured. “It’s a great story and the reason why it’s a great story is that it makes people look stupid,” says Goldgar, who laments that even a serious economist like John Kenneth Galbraith parroted Mackay’s account in A Short History of Financial Euphoria.

“But the idea that tulip mania caused a big depression is completely untrue. As far as I can see, it caused no real effect on the economy whatsoever.” The problem, says Goldgar, is the source material that Mackay used. In 17th-century Holland, there was a rich tradition of satirical poetry and song that poked fun at what Dutch society deemed to be moral failures. Out of that tradition came entertaining pamphlets and poems that targeted the alleged folly of the tulip buyers, whose crime was thinking that trading in tulips would be their ticket into Dutch high society. “My problem with Mackay and later writers who have relied on him—which is virtually everybody—is that he is taking a bunch of materials that are commentary and treating them as if they’re factual,” says Goldgar. To get the real scoop on tulip mania, Goldgar went to the source. She spent years scouring the archives of Dutch cities like Amsterdam, Alkmaar, Enkhuizen and especially Haarlem, the center of the tulip trade. She painstakingly collected 17th-century manuscript data from public notaries, small claims courts, wills and more. And what Goldgar found wasn’t an irrational and widespread tulip craze, but a relatively small and short-lived market for an exotic luxury.

In the mid-1600s, the Dutch enjoyed a period of unmatched wealth and prosperity. Newly independent from Spain, Dutch merchants grew rich on trade through the Dutch East India Company. With money to spend, art and exotica became fashionable collectors items. That’s how the Dutch became fascinated with rare “broken” tulips, bulbs that produced striped and speckled flowers. First these prized tulips were bought as showy display pieces, but it didn’t take long for tulip trading to become a market of its own. “I found six examples of companies that were set up to sell tulips,” says Goldgar, “so people were quickly jumping on the bandwagon to take advantage of something which was a desired commodity.” Tulip prices spiked from December 1636 to February 1637 with some of the most prized bulbs, like the coveted Switzer, experiencing a 12-fold price jump. The most expensive tulip receipts that Goldgar found were for 5,000 guilders, the going rate for a nice house in 1637. But those exorbitant prices were outliers. She only found 37 people who paid more than 300 guilders for a tulip bulb, the equivalent of what a skilled craftsman earned in a year. But even if a form of tulip mania did strike Holland in 1636, did it reach every rung of society, from landed gentry to chimney-sweeps? Goldgar says no. Most of the buyers were the sort you would expect to be speculating in luxury goods—people who could afford it. They were successful merchants and artisans, not chambermaids and peasants.

“I only identified about 350 people who were involved in the trade, although I’m sure that number is on the low side because I didn’t look at every town,” says Goldgar. “Those people were very often connected with each other in various ways, through a profession, family or religion.” What really surprised Goldgar, given Mackay’s tales of financial ruin, was that she wasn’t able to find a single case of an individual who went bankrupt after the tulip market crashed. Even the Dutch painter Jan van Goyen, who allegedly lost everything in the tulip crash, appears to have been done in by land speculation. The real economic fallout, in Goldgar’s assessment, was far more contained and manageable. “The people who stood to lose the most money in the tulip market were wealthy enough that losing 1,000 guilders wasn’t going to cause them great problems,” says Goldgar. “It’s distressing and annoying, but it didn’t have any real effect on production.”

While tulip mania and the ensuing crash didn’t flatline the Dutch economy as Mackay asserted, there was still some collateral damage. From court records, Goldgar found evidence of reputations lost and relationships broken when buyers who promised to pay 100 or 1,000 guilders for a tulip refused to pay up. Goldgar says that those defaults caused a certain level of “cultural shock” in an economy based on trade and elaborate credit relationships. Even if the tulip craze came to an abrupt and ignominious end, Goldgar disagrees with Galbraith and others who dismiss the entire episode as a case of irrational exuberance. “Tulips were something that was fashionable, and people pay for fashion,” says Goldgar. “The apparent ridiculousness of it was played up at the time to make fun of the people who didn’t succeed.”

PREVIOUSLY

HUMAN-INFLUENCED TUSKLESSNESS
https://spectrevision.net/2018/11/14/human-influenced-tusklessness/
SUPERTANKER FUTURES
https://spectrevision.net/2020/04/07/supertanker-futures/
OUTSIDER TRADING
https://spectrevision.net/2021/01/28/meme-stocks/

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